Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
21%
25%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.58Avg goals scored1.98
1.35Avg goals conceded1.98
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

1.9

Gamba Osaka xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

7%

22

7%

11

6%

12

6%

31

6%

32

6%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

LDWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Avispa Fukuokaall timeGamba Osaka
4W
2D
1W
22 Apr 26
Gamba Osaka12Avispa Fukuoka
21 Mar 26
Avispa Fukuoka22Gamba Osaka
30 Nov 25
Avispa Fukuoka10Gamba Osaka
22 Feb 25
Gamba Osaka21Avispa Fukuoka
24 Aug 24
Gamba Osaka22Avispa Fukuoka
3 May 24
Avispa Fukuoka10Gamba Osaka
11 Nov 23
Gamba Osaka12Avispa Fukuoka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 4, drew 2, and Gamba Osaka won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win54%
Draw21%
Gamba Osaka Win25%
BTTS78%
Over 2.581%

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