Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
20%
45%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
1.57Avg goals scored1.75
1.80Avg goals conceded1.52
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected goals

2.2

Mito Hollyhock xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

8%

11

7%

21

7%

22

7%

13

6%

23

5%

Home

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Mito Hollyhock is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Avispa Fukuoka's current form?

Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Avispa Fukuoka Win35%
Draw20%
Mito Hollyhock Win45%
BTTS76%
Over 2.578%

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