โšก Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
16%
26%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.06Avg goals scored1.55
1.25Avg goals conceded1.19
4โ€“1โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

Fagiano Okayama xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

2โ€“0

7%

2โ€“2

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

6%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Cerezo Osakaall timeFagiano Okayama
3W
1W
24 May 26
Fagiano Okayama2โ€“3Cerezo Osaka
18 Mar 26
Cerezo Osaka1โ€“2Fagiano Okayama
18 Oct 25
Fagiano Okayama1โ€“2Cerezo Osaka
2 Apr 25
Cerezo Osaka2โ€“1Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 3, drew 0, and Fagiano Okayama won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win58%
Draw16%
Fagiano Okayama Win26%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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