⚡ Match Analysis
Cerezo Osaka vs Fc Tokyo
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
31%
31%
38%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawFC Tokyo win
Key Stats
2.40Points per game1.80
1.87Avg goals scored1.51
1.17Avg goals conceded0.92
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
1.3
FC Tokyo xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
Home
Cerezo Osaka
WWWLW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
FC Tokyo
LWWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Cerezo Osakaall timeFc Tokyo
2D
2W
20 Apr 25
Cerezo Osaka1–1FC Tokyo
8 Dec 24
FC Tokyo3–0Cerezo Osaka
24 Feb 24
Cerezo Osaka2–2FC Tokyo
6 Aug 23
Cerezo Osaka0–1FC Tokyo
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Fc Tokyo?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 0, drew 2, and Fc Tokyo won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Cerezo Osaka Win31%
Draw31%
FC Tokyo Win38%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%
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