Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
18%
37%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawKawasaki Frontale win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.26Avg goals scored1.78
1.27Avg goals conceded1.43
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.6

Kawasaki Frontale xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

11%

12

9%

21

8%

01

7%

10

7%

02

6%

Home

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale

WDDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Cerezo Osakaall timeKawasaki Frontale
3W
1W
25 Oct 25
Cerezo Osaka20Kawasaki Frontale
18 May 25
Kawasaki Frontale20Cerezo Osaka
13 Apr 24
Cerezo Osaka10Kawasaki Frontale
2 Sep 23
Cerezo Osaka30Kawasaki Frontale

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 3, drew 0, and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win45%
Draw18%
Kawasaki Frontale Win37%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%

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