Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
1.6
Kawasaki Frontale xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Kawasaki Frontale
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 3, drew 0, and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League