Match Analysis

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
14%
14%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawTokyo Verdy 1969 win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
1.42Avg goals scored0.45
1.04Avg goals conceded1.76
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Cerezo Osaka xG

Expected goals

0.3

Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

21%

20

20%

30

13%

00

11%

11

6%

21

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $22K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Cerezo Osaka
72%
53%
+19%
Draw
14%
Tokyo Verdy 1969
14%
47%
-33%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

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Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Tokyo Verdy 1969

Tokyo Verdy 1969

LLDLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Cerezo Osakaall timeTokyo Verdy 1969
1W
1W
25 Apr 25
Tokyo Verdy 196910Cerezo Osaka
9 Mar 24
Cerezo Osaka21Tokyo Verdy 1969

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?

Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 1, drew 0, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Cerezo Osaka Win72%
Draw14%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 Win14%
BTTS22%
Over 2.538%

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