Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Cerezo Osaka xG
Expected goals
0.3
Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
21%
2–0
20%
3–0
13%
0–0
11%
1–1
6%
2–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $22K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Tokyo Verdy 1969
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?
Cerezo Osaka is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Cerezo Osaka's current form?
Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 1, drew 0, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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