Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
30%
27%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.01Avg goals scored1.21
0.97Avg goals conceded1.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

0.8

Mito Hollyhock xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

16%

00

14%

11

13%

01

11%

20

10%

21

8%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win43%
Draw30%
Mito Hollyhock Win27%
BTTS38%
Over 2.532%

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