Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Fagiano Okayama xG
Expected goals
1.4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
23%
0–0
17%
0–2
16%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $17K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Fagiano Okayama
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?
Fagiano Okayama have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 2, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (23% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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