Match Analysis

Fagiano OkayamavsShimizu S-Pulse

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
29%
35%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.36Avg goals scored1.08
1.45Avg goals conceded1.03
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.1

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

12%

0–0

11%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fagiano Okayama is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win36%
Draw29%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win35%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%