🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Fagiano Okayama xG
Expected goals
1.3
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–0
10%
0–0
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
Home
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu Spulse?
Shimizu S-Pulse is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?
Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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