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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu Spulse
⚡ Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu Spulse

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
27%
40%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawShimizu S-Pulse win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.18Avg goals scored1.17
1.51Avg goals conceded1.16
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Fagiano Okayama xG

Expected goals

1.3

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu Spulse?

Shimizu S-Pulse is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?

Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fagiano Okayama Win33%
Draw27%
Shimizu S-Pulse Win40%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

📊

More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers