⚡ Match Analysis
Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa Red Diamonds
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
26%
21%
53%
Fagiano Okayama winDrawUrawa Red Diamonds win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game1.80
1.52Avg goals scored1.33
1.39Avg goals conceded0.92
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Fagiano Okayama xG
Expected goals
1.4
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
7%
0–2
7%
Home
Fagiano Okayama
LWWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Urawa Red Diamonds
LLWWW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Fagiano Okayamaall timeUrawa Red Diamonds
2W
30 Nov 25
Fagiano Okayama0–1Urawa Red Diamonds
8 Mar 25
Urawa Red Diamonds1–0Fagiano Okayama
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fagiano Okayama's current form?
Fagiano Okayama have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 0, drew 0, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Fagiano Okayama Win26%
Draw21%
Urawa Red Diamonds Win53%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%
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