⚡ Match Analysis
Fc Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
45%
31%
24%
FC Tokyo winDrawCerezo Osaka win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game2.40
1.51Avg goals scored1.87
0.92Avg goals conceded1.17
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
1.3
Cerezo Osaka xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
Home
FC Tokyo
LWWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Cerezo Osaka
WWWLW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Fc Tokyoall timeCerezo Osaka
2W
2D
20 Apr 25
Cerezo Osaka1–1FC Tokyo
8 Dec 24
FC Tokyo3–0Cerezo Osaka
24 Feb 24
Cerezo Osaka2–2FC Tokyo
6 Aug 23
Cerezo Osaka0–1FC Tokyo
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 2, and Cerezo Osaka won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
FC Tokyo Win45%
Draw31%
Cerezo Osaka Win24%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%
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