โšก Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
12%
24%
FC Tokyo winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.51Avg goals scored0.96
1.31Avg goals conceded2.00
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“0โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

0.9

Kyoto Sanga xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

9%

3โ€“0

9%

1โ€“0

8%

1โ€“1

8%

3โ€“1

8%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 5 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
3W
24 Aug 25
FC Tokyo0โ€“4Kyoto Sanga
31 May 25
Kyoto Sanga3โ€“0FC Tokyo
24 Aug 24
Kyoto Sanga3โ€“0FC Tokyo
3 May 24
FC Tokyo2โ€“1Kyoto Sanga
12 Aug 23
FC Tokyo2โ€“0Kyoto Sanga

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 0, and Kyoto Sanga won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 5 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win64%
Draw12%
Kyoto Sanga Win24%
BTTS54%
Over 2.566%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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