Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
14%
28%
FC Tokyo winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.68Avg goals scored1.27
1.42Avg goals conceded1.85
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

1.2

Kyoto Sanga xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

21

9%

11

8%

20

8%

31

8%

10

7%

22

6%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
3W
24 Aug 25
FC Tokyo04Kyoto Sanga
31 May 25
Kyoto Sanga30FC Tokyo
24 Aug 24
Kyoto Sanga30FC Tokyo
3 May 24
FC Tokyo21Kyoto Sanga
12 Aug 23
FC Tokyo20Kyoto Sanga

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga?

FC Tokyo is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 0, and Kyoto Sanga won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win58%
Draw14%
Kyoto Sanga Win28%
BTTS64%
Over 2.570%

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