โšก Match Analysis

Fc Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
10%
78%
FC Tokyo winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
1.40Avg goals scored2.50
2.56Avg goals conceded0.83
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

FC Tokyo xG

Expected goals

4

Machida Zelvia xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“3

7%

0โ€“4

7%

1โ€“3

7%

1โ€“4

7%

0โ€“5

6%

1โ€“5

6%

Home

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Fc Tokyoall timeMachida Zelvia
2W
1D
3W
5 Apr 26
FC Tokyo0โ€“0Machida Zelvia
1 Apr 26
Machida Zelvia0โ€“3FC Tokyo
9 Nov 25
Machida Zelvia0โ€“1FC Tokyo
22 Feb 25
FC Tokyo0โ€“1Machida Zelvia
9 Nov 24
Machida Zelvia3โ€“0FC Tokyo
21 Apr 24
FC Tokyo1โ€“2Machida Zelvia

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Tokyo's current form?

Fc Tokyo have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 1, and Machida Zelvia won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

FC Tokyo Win12%
Draw10%
Machida Zelvia Win78%
BTTS62%
Over 2.588%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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