Fc Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
FC Tokyo xG
Expected goals
2
Nagoya Grampus xG
81%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–1
5%
1–2
5%
Home
FC Tokyo
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Tokyo's current form?
Fc Tokyo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Fc Tokyo won 2, drew 1, and Nagoya Grampus won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League