โšก Match Analysis

Gamba Osaka vs Fc Tokyo

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
22%
34%
Gamba Osaka winDrawFC Tokyo win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.82Avg goals scored1.52
1.28Avg goals conceded1.30
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.4

FC Tokyo xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“0

7%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“0

7%

2โ€“2

7%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

LDLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Gamba Osakaall timeFc Tokyo
1W
1D
2W
25 Apr 25
FC Tokyo3โ€“0Gamba Osaka
7 Aug 24
Gamba Osaka0โ€“0FC Tokyo
26 May 24
FC Tokyo0โ€“1Gamba Osaka
1 Oct 23
FC Tokyo3โ€“0Gamba Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Fc Tokyo?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1, drew 1, and Fc Tokyo won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win44%
Draw22%
FC Tokyo Win34%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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