Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected goals
2.1
FC Tokyo xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
12%
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–3
7%
Home
Gamba Osaka
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
FC Tokyo
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Fc Tokyo?
FC Tokyo is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Gamba Osaka's current form?
Gamba Osaka have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1, drew 1, and Fc Tokyo won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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