⚡ Match Analysis
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
42%
22%
36%
Gamba Osaka winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win
Key Stats
1.20Points per game1.20
1.62Avg goals scored1.24
1.27Avg goals conceded1.23
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected goals
1.2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Gamba Osaka
LWLWL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
LLLWW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Gamba Osakaall timeSanfrecce Hiroshima
1W
1D
4W
14 Mar 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–0Gamba Osaka
16 Aug 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0Gamba Osaka
11 May 25
Gamba Osaka0–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
8 Dec 24
Gamba Osaka3–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30 Mar 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Gamba Osaka
25 Nov 23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0Gamba Osaka
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gamba Osaka is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Gamba Osaka's current form?
Gamba Osaka have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Gamba Osaka Win42%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win36%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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