โšก Match Analysis

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
22%
49%
Gamba Osaka winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game3.00
1.82Avg goals scored1.75
1.25Avg goals conceded0.92
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)5โ€“0โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“2

9%

0โ€“1

8%

2โ€“1

8%

1โ€“0

7%

0โ€“2

6%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 7 meetings

Gamba Osakaall timeSanfrecce Hiroshima
1W
1D
5W
10 May 26
Gamba Osaka0โ€“1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
14 Mar 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2โ€“0Gamba Osaka
16 Aug 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1โ€“0Gamba Osaka
11 May 25
Gamba Osaka0โ€“1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
8 Dec 24
Gamba Osaka3โ€“1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30 Mar 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1โ€“1Gamba Osaka
25 Nov 23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3โ€“0Gamba Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 1, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 7 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win29%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win49%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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