🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected goals
0.8
Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
2–0
12%
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
8%
0–0
6%
Home
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?
Gamba Osaka is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Gamba Osaka's current form?
Gamba Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2, drew 2, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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