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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969
⚡ Match Analysis

Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
28%
11%
Gamba Osaka winDrawTokyo Verdy 1969 win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.52Avg goals scored0.84
1.22Avg goals conceded1.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Gamba Osaka xG

Expected goals

0.8

Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

2–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Tokyo Verdy 1969

Tokyo Verdy 1969

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Gamba Osakaall timeTokyo Verdy 1969
2W
2D
6 Dec 25
Gamba Osaka4–1Tokyo Verdy 1969
2 Mar 25
Tokyo Verdy 19690–1Gamba Osaka
28 Sep 24
Gamba Osaka1–1Tokyo Verdy 1969
15 May 24
Tokyo Verdy 19690–0Gamba Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gamba Osaka's current form?

Gamba Osaka have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Gamba Osaka won 2, drew 2, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gamba Osaka Win61%
Draw28%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 Win11%
BTTS48%
Over 2.553%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

📊

More from J1 League

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