Match Analysis

JEF United Ichihara-ChibavsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
24%
34%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
1.14Avg goals scored1.09
1.81Avg goals conceded1.69
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

1.4

Cerezo Osaka xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

2–0

6%

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Cerezo Osaka?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba's current form?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 12 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win42%
Draw24%
Cerezo Osaka Win34%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%