Match Analysis

Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Gamba Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

9%
13%
78%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.20
0.76Avg goals scored1.56
2.86Avg goals conceded1.67
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

3

Gamba Osaka xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

8%

03

8%

12

8%

13

8%

04

6%

14

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $138K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
9%
26%
-17%
Draw
13%
Gamba Osaka
78%
74%
+4%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.9

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jef United Ichiharachiba's current form?

Jef United Ichiharachiba have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win9%
Draw13%
Gamba Osaka Win78%
BTTS60%
Over 2.576%

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