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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Machida Zelvia
⚡ Match Analysis

Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Machida Zelvia

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
25%
45%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
1.22Avg goals scored1.28
1.56Avg goals conceded1.13
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG

Expected goals

1.5

Machida Zelvia xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jef United Ichiharachiba's current form?

Jef United Ichiharachiba have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba Win30%
Draw25%
Machida Zelvia Win45%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers