🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba xG
Expected goals
1.5
Machida Zelvia xG
54%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
10%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Who is favored to win Jef United Ichiharachiba vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Jef United Ichiharachiba's current form?
Jef United Ichiharachiba have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League