โšก Match Analysis

Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
16%
15%
Kashima Antlers winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.20
2.10Avg goals scored1.26
1.53Avg goals conceded1.80
4โ€“0โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“1โ€“4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Kashima Antlers xG

Expected goals

1.4

Nagoya Grampus xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3โ€“1

8%

2โ€“1

7%

3โ€“0

6%

4โ€“1

6%

1โ€“1

5%

2โ€“0

5%

Home

Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LLDLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 5 meetings

Kashima Antlersall timeNagoya Grampus
3W
1D
1W
27 Sep 25
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“4Kashima Antlers
25 Apr 25
Kashima Antlers1โ€“0Nagoya Grampus
9 Nov 24
Kashima Antlers0โ€“0Nagoya Grampus
23 Feb 24
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“3Kashima Antlers
13 Aug 23
Nagoya Grampus1โ€“0Kashima Antlers

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashima Antlers is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashima Antlers's current form?

Kashima Antlers have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Kashima Antlers won 3, drew 1, and Nagoya Grampus won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 5 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Kashima Antlers Win69%
Draw16%
Nagoya Grampus Win15%
BTTS72%
Over 2.583%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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