Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Kashima Antlers xG
Expected goals
2.5
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
90%
Both Teams to Score
96%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
2–2
4%
3–1
4%
3–3
4%
4–1
4%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $22K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Kashima Antlers
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Urawa Red Diamonds
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
Kashima Antlers is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kashima Antlers's current form?
Kashima Antlers have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Kashima Antlers won 3, drew 3, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 96%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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