⚡ Match Analysis
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
52%
35%
13%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawKyoto Sanga win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game0.60
1.17Avg goals scored0.89
1.17Avg goals conceded1.61
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected goals
0.8
Kyoto Sanga xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
2–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
7%
Home
Kashiwa Reysol
WWWLL
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Kyoto Sanga
WLLLL
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Kashiwa Reysolall timeKyoto Sanga
1W
2D
2 Apr 25
Kyoto Sanga1–1Kashiwa Reysol
25 Feb 24
Kashiwa Reysol1–1Kyoto Sanga
6 Aug 23
Kyoto Sanga0–1Kashiwa Reysol
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga?
Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?
Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 1, drew 2, and Kyoto Sanga won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Kashiwa Reysol Win52%
Draw35%
Kyoto Sanga Win13%
BTTS45%
Over 2.546%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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