โšก Match Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

71%
12%
17%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.00
1.53Avg goals scored0.76
1.14Avg goals conceded1.86
4โ€“0โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“0โ€“5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected goals

0.6

Mito Hollyhock xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

14%

1โ€“0

12%

3โ€“0

11%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“1

7%

3โ€“1

7%

Home

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

LWWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.1

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Kashiwa Reysolall timeMito Hollyhock
1W
1W
19 Apr 26
Mito Hollyhock2โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol
22 Mar 26
Kashiwa Reysol3โ€“0Mito Hollyhock

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?

Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 1, drew 0, and Mito Hollyhock won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Kashiwa Reysol Win71%
Draw12%
Mito Hollyhock Win17%
BTTS41%
Over 2.558%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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