โšก Match Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

73%
11%
16%
Kashiwa Reysol winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.00
1.62Avg goals scored0.83
1.19Avg goals conceded1.97
4โ€“0โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“0โ€“5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected goals

0.7

Mito Hollyhock xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“0

12%

3โ€“0

11%

1โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

9%

3โ€“1

8%

1โ€“1

7%

Home

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Kashiwa Reysolall timeMito Hollyhock
1W
1W
19 Apr 26
Mito Hollyhock2โ€“0Kashiwa Reysol
22 Mar 26
Kashiwa Reysol3โ€“0Mito Hollyhock

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kashiwa Reysol's current form?

Kashiwa Reysol have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 1, drew 0, and Mito Hollyhock won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kashiwa Reysol Win73%
Draw11%
Mito Hollyhock Win16%
BTTS47%
Over 2.564%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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