⚡ Match Analysis
Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
31%
30%
39%
Kawasaki Frontale winDrawMachida Zelvia win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game1.80
1.10Avg goals scored1.27
1.50Avg goals conceded1.14
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Kawasaki Frontale xG
Expected goals
1.5
Machida Zelvia xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Kawasaki Frontale
WLLWW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Machida Zelvia
WLWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Kawasaki Frontaleall timeMachida Zelvia
2W
2D
1W
28 Mar 26
Machida Zelvia1–1Kawasaki Frontale
31 Aug 25
Kawasaki Frontale5–3Machida Zelvia
6 Apr 25
Machida Zelvia2–2Kawasaki Frontale
5 Oct 24
Machida Zelvia1–4Kawasaki Frontale
7 Apr 24
Kawasaki Frontale0–1Machida Zelvia
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kawasaki Frontale's current form?
Kawasaki Frontale have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Kawasaki Frontale won 2, drew 2, and Machida Zelvia won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Kawasaki Frontale Win31%
Draw30%
Machida Zelvia Win39%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League