Match Analysis

Kyoto SangavsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
27%
35%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
0.93Avg goals scored0.93
1.91Avg goals conceded1.76
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cerezo Osaka xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDDLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kyoto Sanga is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win38%
Draw27%
Cerezo Osaka Win35%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%