Match Analysis

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
21%
65%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawKashima Antlers win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.40
1.13Avg goals scored2.41
2.28Avg goals conceded1.65
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

3.9

Kashima Antlers xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

91%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

7%

14

7%

12

5%

15

5%

23

5%

24

5%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

LDLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Kashima Antlers

Kashima Antlers

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Kyoto Sangaall timeKashima Antlers
1W
2D
1W
25 Oct 25
Kyoto Sanga11Kashima Antlers
6 Apr 25
Kashima Antlers34Kyoto Sanga
17 Nov 24
Kyoto Sanga00Kashima Antlers
13 Apr 24
Kashima Antlers10Kyoto Sanga

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers?

Kashima Antlers is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 1, drew 2, and Kashima Antlers won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 91%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win14%
Draw21%
Kashima Antlers Win65%
BTTS76%
Over 2.591%

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