🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Kyoto Sanga xG
Expected goals
1.4
Kashiwa Reysol xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
0–2
10%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
Home
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?
Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 0, drew 2, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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