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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
⚡ Match Analysis

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
37%
45%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.89Avg goals scored1.17
1.61Avg goals conceded1.17
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

1.4

Kashiwa Reysol xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–2

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings

Kyoto Sangaall timeKashiwa Reysol
2D
1W
2 Apr 25
Kyoto Sanga1–1Kashiwa Reysol
25 Feb 24
Kashiwa Reysol1–1Kyoto Sanga
6 Aug 23
Kyoto Sanga0–1Kashiwa Reysol

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 0, drew 2, and Kashiwa Reysol won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win18%
Draw37%
Kashiwa Reysol Win45%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers