Match Analysis

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
28%
56%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawKashiwa Reysol win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.08Avg goals scored1.64
1.85Avg goals conceded1.36
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

2.1

Kashiwa Reysol xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

10%

01

9%

02

9%

11

9%

13

7%

03

6%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

LDWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Kashiwa Reysol

Kashiwa Reysol

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Kyoto Sangaall timeKashiwa Reysol
2D
2W
30 May 26
Kyoto Sanga26Kashiwa Reysol
2 Apr 25
Kyoto Sanga11Kashiwa Reysol
25 Feb 24
Kashiwa Reysol11Kyoto Sanga
6 Aug 23
Kyoto Sanga01Kashiwa Reysol

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 0, drew 2, and Kashiwa Reysol won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win16%
Draw28%
Kashiwa Reysol Win56%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%

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