Match Analysis

Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
17%
69%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
1.13Avg goals scored2.14
1.67Avg goals conceded1.15
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Kyoto Sanga xG

Expected goals

2.5

Machida Zelvia xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–3

8%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

Home

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?

Kyoto Sanga have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kyoto Sanga Win14%
Draw17%
Machida Zelvia Win69%
BTTS58%
Over 2.568%