⚡ Match Analysis
Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
45%
24%
31%
Kyoto Sanga winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win
Key Stats
1.20Points per game1.20
1.26Avg goals scored1.24
1.41Avg goals conceded1.23
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Kyoto Sanga xG
Expected goals
1.3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Kyoto Sanga
LLWLW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
LLLWW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Kyoto Sangaall timeSanfrecce Hiroshima
4W
1D
1W
27 Feb 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–2Kyoto Sanga
12 Sep 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–1Kyoto Sanga
29 Mar 25
Kyoto Sanga1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 Nov 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1Kyoto Sanga
19 May 24
Kyoto Sanga0–5Sanfrecce Hiroshima
23 Sep 23
Kyoto Sanga1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kyoto Sanga is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Kyoto Sanga's current form?
Kyoto Sanga have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 4, drew 1, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Kyoto Sanga Win45%
Draw24%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win31%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%
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