Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsAvispa Fukuoka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
18%
13%
Machida Zelvia winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.40
2.14Avg goals scored1.21
1.15Avg goals conceded1.40
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1

Avispa Fukuoka xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win69%
Draw18%
Avispa Fukuoka Win13%
BTTS57%
Over 2.566%