Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
1
Kawasaki Frontale xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–0
6%
1–1
6%
Home
Machida Zelvia
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Kawasaki Frontale
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, drew 3, and Kawasaki Frontale won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League