Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
22%
57%
Machida Zelvia winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
2.14Avg goals scored2.40
1.15Avg goals conceded0.62
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1.9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win21%
Draw22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win57%
BTTS54%
Over 2.555%