⚡ Match Analysis
Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy 1969
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
39%
31%
30%
Machida Zelvia winDrawTokyo Verdy 1969 win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game2.40
1.27Avg goals scored1.07
1.14Avg goals conceded1.05
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
0.9
Tokyo Verdy 1969 xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
11%
2–0
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Machida Zelvia
WLWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Tokyo Verdy 1969
LWWWW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Machida Zelviaall timeTokyo Verdy 1969
1W
1D
1W
21 Feb 26
Tokyo Verdy 19692–2Machida Zelvia
26 Feb 25
Machida Zelvia0–1Tokyo Verdy 1969
19 May 24
Machida Zelvia5–0Tokyo Verdy 1969
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy 1969?
Machida Zelvia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 1, drew 1, and Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Machida Zelvia Win39%
Draw31%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 Win30%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%
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