⚡ Match Analysis
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
32%
30%
38%
Machida Zelvia winDrawUrawa Red Diamonds win
Key Stats
1.80Points per game2.40
1.27Avg goals scored1.68
1.14Avg goals conceded1.03
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Machida Zelvia xG
Expected goals
1.5
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
11%
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–0
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Machida Zelvia
WLWLW
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Urawa Red Diamonds
WWWWL
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Machida Zelviaall timeUrawa Red Diamonds
2W
2D
1W
22 Mar 26
Urawa Red Diamonds1–2Machida Zelvia
25 Oct 25
Urawa Red Diamonds0–0Machida Zelvia
13 Apr 25
Machida Zelvia0–2Urawa Red Diamonds
31 Aug 24
Machida Zelvia2–2Urawa Red Diamonds
26 May 24
Urawa Red Diamonds1–2Machida Zelvia
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Machida Zelvia's current form?
Machida Zelvia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Machida Zelvia won 2, drew 2, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Machida Zelvia Win32%
Draw30%
Urawa Red Diamonds Win38%
BTTS52%
Over 2.548%
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