Match Analysis

Machida ZelviavsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
14%
10%
Machida Zelvia winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
2.14Avg goals scored1.21
1.15Avg goals conceded1.65
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

6%

1–1

6%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win76%
Draw14%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win10%
BTTS59%
Over 2.573%