Match Analysis

Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F Marinos

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
19%
15%
Machida Zelvia winDrawYokohama F. Marinos win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.68Avg goals scored1.75
0.88Avg goals conceded1.13
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Machida Zelvia xG

Expected goals

1

Yokohama F. Marinos xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

10%

21

10%

10

8%

11

8%

30

7%

31

7%

Home

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Yokohama F. Marinos

Yokohama F. Marinos

WDLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F Marinos?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Machida Zelvia's current form?

Machida Zelvia have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Machida Zelvia Win66%
Draw19%
Yokohama F. Marinos Win15%
BTTS57%
Over 2.564%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi