โšก Match Analysis

Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
36%
57%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game2.00
0.74Avg goals scored1.32
1.95Avg goals conceded0.83
0โ€“0โ€“5Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)3โ€“1โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

1.9

Machida Zelvia xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

17%

0โ€“2

16%

0โ€“3

10%

0โ€“0

9%

1โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

8%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

WDWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Mito Hollyhockall timeMachida Zelvia
2D
29 Apr 26
Mito Hollyhock2โ€“2Machida Zelvia
14 Feb 26
Machida Zelvia2โ€“2Mito Hollyhock

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0, drew 2, and Machida Zelvia won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win7%
Draw36%
Machida Zelvia Win57%
BTTS33%
Over 2.543%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š