Match Analysis

Mito HollyhockvsV-Varen Nagasaki

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Mito Hollyhock winDrawV-Varen Nagasaki win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.22Avg goals scored1.21
1.51Avg goals conceded1.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Mito Hollyhock xG

Expected goals

1.3

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Mito Hollyhock is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mito Hollyhock's current form?

Mito Hollyhock have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mito Hollyhock Win45%
Draw25%
V-Varen Nagasaki Win30%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%