Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected goals
1.4
Cerezo Osaka xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
1–2
8%
2–0
7%
0–1
6%
Home
Nagoya Grampus
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?
Nagoya Grampus have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 3, drew 1, and Cerezo Osaka won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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