Match Analysis

Nagoya GrampusvsCerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
32%
27%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.20
1.04Avg goals scored0.69
1.63Avg goals conceded1.27
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

0.8

Cerezo Osaka xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

17%

1–0

17%

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

2–0

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win41%
Draw32%
Cerezo Osaka Win27%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%