โšก Match Analysis

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
15%
58%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawGamba Osaka win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.60
1.77Avg goals scored2.44
2.12Avg goals conceded1.79
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“1โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected goals

3.7

Gamba Osaka xG

90%

Both Teams to Score

95%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“3

5%

2โ€“4

5%

3โ€“3

5%

1โ€“3

4%

1โ€“4

4%

2โ€“2

4%

Home

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 7 meetings

Nagoya Grampusall timeGamba Osaka
2W
1D
4W
6 May 26
Nagoya Grampus2โ€“1Gamba Osaka
15 Feb 26
Gamba Osaka0โ€“0Nagoya Grampus
25 Oct 25
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“2Gamba Osaka
12 Apr 25
Gamba Osaka2โ€“0Nagoya Grampus
23 Oct 24
Gamba Osaka3โ€“2Nagoya Grampus
11 May 24
Nagoya Grampus0โ€“1Gamba Osaka
21 Oct 23
Gamba Osaka0โ€“1Nagoya Grampus

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?

Nagoya Grampus have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2, drew 1, and Gamba Osaka won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 7 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Nagoya Grampus Win27%
Draw15%
Gamba Osaka Win58%
BTTS90%
Over 2.595%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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