⚡ Match Analysis
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
46%
30%
24%
Nagoya Grampus winDrawKyoto Sanga win
Key Stats
2.40Points per game1.20
1.78Avg goals scored1.26
1.18Avg goals conceded1.41
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected goals
1.1
Kyoto Sanga xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
2–0
9%
1–0
8%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Nagoya Grampus
WWLWW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Kyoto Sanga
LLWLW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 5 meetings
Nagoya Grampusall timeKyoto Sanga
3D
2W
22 Mar 26
Kyoto Sanga1–1Nagoya Grampus
10 Aug 25
Nagoya Grampus1–2Kyoto Sanga
11 May 25
Kyoto Sanga1–1Nagoya Grampus
7 Aug 24
Kyoto Sanga3–2Nagoya Grampus
26 May 24
Nagoya Grampus1–1Kyoto Sanga
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?
Nagoya Grampus is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nagoya Grampus's current form?
Nagoya Grampus have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 5 J1 League meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 0, drew 3, and Kyoto Sanga won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 5 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Nagoya Grampus Win46%
Draw30%
Kyoto Sanga Win24%
BTTS59%
Over 2.564%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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