Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected goals
0.7
Cerezo Osaka xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
0–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
12%
0–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Cerezo Osaka
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4, drew 3, and Cerezo Osaka won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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