Match Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
32%
13%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.15Avg goals scored1.12
0.88Avg goals conceded0.83
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

0.7

Cerezo Osaka xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

17%

00

12%

11

12%

20

12%

01

9%

21

8%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

LWDDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Sanfrecce Hiroshimaall timeCerezo Osaka
4W
3D
25 Apr 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima21Cerezo Osaka
22 Feb 26
Cerezo Osaka12Sanfrecce Hiroshima
31 Aug 25
Cerezo Osaka11Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 Apr 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima21Cerezo Osaka
11 Aug 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima20Cerezo Osaka
26 May 24
Cerezo Osaka11Sanfrecce Hiroshima
21 Oct 23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima00Cerezo Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4, drew 3, and Cerezo Osaka won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win55%
Draw32%
Cerezo Osaka Win13%
BTTS38%
Over 2.535%

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