🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected goals
1
Kawasaki Frontale xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2, drew 1, and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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