Match Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
7%
16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.36Avg goals scored1.13
0.70Avg goals conceded2.28
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

0.6

Kyoto Sanga xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

11%

40

11%

50

9%

20

8%

31

6%

41

6%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

LDLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 7 meetings

Sanfrecce Hiroshimaall timeKyoto Sanga
2W
1D
4W
17 May 26
Kyoto Sanga04Sanfrecce Hiroshima
27 Feb 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima12Kyoto Sanga
12 Sep 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima11Kyoto Sanga
29 Mar 25
Kyoto Sanga10Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 Nov 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima01Kyoto Sanga
19 May 24
Kyoto Sanga05Sanfrecce Hiroshima
23 Sep 23
Kyoto Sanga10Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 7 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2, drew 1, and Kyoto Sanga won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 7 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win77%
Draw7%
Kyoto Sanga Win16%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%

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