Match Analysis

Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKyoto Sanga

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

89%
8%
3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
2.40Avg goals scored1.13
0.62Avg goals conceded1.67
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

0.5

Kyoto Sanga xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

2–0

13%

4–0

11%

1–0

8%

3–1

7%

5–0

7%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win89%
Draw8%
Kyoto Sanga Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.571%