โšก Match Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต J1 League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
11%
22%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawNagoya Grampus win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game0.80
1.75Avg goals scored1.80
0.92Avg goals conceded1.99
5โ€“0โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected goals

1.2

Nagoya Grampus xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

8%

3โ€“1

8%

2โ€“0

7%

3โ€“0

7%

1โ€“1

6%

4โ€“1

6%

Home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

LDLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Sanfrecce Hiroshimaall timeNagoya Grampus
3W
3W
23 May 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4โ€“2Nagoya Grampus
18 Mar 26
Nagoya Grampus2โ€“1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20 Apr 25
Nagoya Grampus2โ€“1Sanfrecce Hiroshima
17 Aug 24
Nagoya Grampus1โ€“2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 May 24
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2โ€“3Nagoya Grampus
30 Sep 23
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3โ€“1Nagoya Grampus

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sanfrecce Hiroshima's current form?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 J1 League meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 3, drew 0, and Nagoya Grampus won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win67%
Draw11%
Nagoya Grampus Win22%
BTTS66%
Over 2.578%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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