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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Shimizu Spulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
⚡ Match Analysis

Shimizu Spulse vs Avispa Fukuoka

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
26%
26%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.17Avg goals scored1.12
1.16Avg goals conceded1.44
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected goals

1

Avispa Fukuoka xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

8%

Home

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shimizu Spulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Shimizu S-Pulse is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shimizu Spulse's current form?

Shimizu Spulse have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shimizu S-Pulse Win48%
Draw26%
Avispa Fukuoka Win26%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers