⚡ Match Analysis
Shimizu Spulse vs Gamba Osaka
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
34%
25%
41%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawGamba Osaka win
Key Stats
1.20Points per game1.20
1.17Avg goals scored1.62
1.16Avg goals conceded1.28
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected goals
1.4
Gamba Osaka xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Shimizu S-Pulse
WWLLL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Gamba Osaka
LWLWL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Shimizu Spulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Gamba Osaka is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Shimizu Spulse's current form?
Shimizu Spulse have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Shimizu S-Pulse Win34%
Draw25%
Gamba Osaka Win41%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from J1 League