Match Analysis

Shimizu S-PulsevsMachida Zelvia

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
26%
50%
Shimizu S-Pulse winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.08Avg goals scored2.14
1.03Avg goals conceded1.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected goals

1.5

Machida Zelvia xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

8%

Home

Shimizu S-Pulse

Shimizu S-Pulse

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Shimizu S-Pulse's current form?

Shimizu S-Pulse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Shimizu S-Pulse Win24%
Draw26%
Machida Zelvia Win50%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%