Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Urawa Red Diamonds xG
Expected goals
2.1
Fagiano Okayama xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
0–1
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $99K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Urawa Red Diamonds
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Fagiano Okayama
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?
Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Urawa Red Diamonds's current form?
Urawa Red Diamonds have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2, drew 1, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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