Match Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
24%
37%
Urawa Red Diamonds winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.76Avg goals scored1.48
2.13Avg goals conceded1.18
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Urawa Red Diamonds xG

Expected goals

2.1

Fagiano Okayama xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

9%

11

8%

21

7%

22

7%

13

6%

01

5%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $99K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Urawa Red Diamonds
39%
0%
+39%
Draw
24%
Fagiano Okayama
37%
100%
-63%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

WWLDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 3 meetings

Urawa Red Diamondsall timeFagiano Okayama
2W
1D
31 May 26
Fagiano Okayama11Urawa Red Diamonds
30 Nov 25
Fagiano Okayama01Urawa Red Diamonds
8 Mar 25
Urawa Red Diamonds10Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

Urawa Red Diamonds is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Urawa Red Diamonds's current form?

Urawa Red Diamonds have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 3 J1 League meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2, drew 1, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 3 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds Win39%
Draw24%
Fagiano Okayama Win37%
BTTS70%
Over 2.571%

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